Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000172 0.000186 0.000201 0.000218 0.000236 0.000256 0.000280
2024-10-06 0.000151 0.000171 0.000194 0.000221 0.000254 0.000292 0.000341
2024-10-13 0.000139 0.000163 0.000190 0.000225 0.000268 0.000322 0.000394
2024-10-20 0.000128 0.000153 0.000183 0.000222 0.000273 0.000339 0.000432
2024-10-27 0.000122 0.000149 0.000182 0.000228 0.000289 0.000370 0.000490
2024-11-03 0.000113 0.000140 0.000174 0.000222 0.000288 0.000379 0.000518
2024-11-10 0.000106 0.000133 0.000168 0.000218 0.000290 0.000391 0.000553
2024-11-17 0.000100 0.000127 0.000162 0.000214 0.000290 0.000400 0.000582
2024-11-24 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000214 0.000296 0.000418 0.000628
2024-12-01 0.000092 0.000119 0.000157 0.000214 0.000300 0.000434 0.000672
2024-12-08 0.000089 0.000117 0.000156 0.000216 0.000309 0.000458 0.000732
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000213 0.000310 0.000468 0.000767
2024-12-22 0.000082 0.000109 0.000149 0.000212 0.000314 0.000485 0.000822
2024-12-29 0.000079 0.000108 0.000148 0.000214 0.000325 0.000515 0.000904
2025-01-05 0.000078 0.000106 0.000148 0.000218 0.000337 0.000549 0.001002
2025-01-12 0.000074 0.000103 0.000145 0.000215 0.000338 0.000562 0.001058
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000102 0.000146 0.000221 0.000354 0.000605 0.001187
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000215 0.000349 0.000607 0.001221
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000095 0.000137 0.000212 0.000349 0.000618 0.001279
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000092 0.000134 0.000208 0.000347 0.000624 0.001327
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000090 0.000132 0.000208 0.000352 0.000647 0.001423
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000088 0.000130 0.000207 0.000356 0.000668 0.001517
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000087 0.000130 0.000209 0.000366 0.000702 0.001657